Latino Decisions Blog
Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – 2012 edition
In 1998 Harry Pachon and Rudy de la Garza wrote a report for the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute titled “Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – Again!” in which they…
Enthusiasm High among Colorado Latinos—Is it time for a new Latino voter impact narrative?
The Latino vote will help determine the presidential election. If one is not convinced, playing around with the Latino Decisions’ Latino Vote Map for a few of the battleground states…
Obama slightly down among Latinos post-debate but Romney stuck in low 20s
ImpreMedia & Latino Decisions released the latest in a series of tracking polls today revealing support for President Obama slipped from 72% last week to 67% this week, suggesting that…
Why Arizona may be the surprise of 2012 – the big Latino vote that you didn’t see coming
In 2010, the average of 16 polls of likely voters in Nevada suggested Sharon Angle had a firm 3 point lead, and 538’s Nate Silver gave her an 83.4% chance…
Republicans fail to improve their image among Latinos, but have opportunity on education
The latest impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll released today revealed a continued trend in support for President Obama, and increased dissatisfaction with Republican outreach towards Latino voters, with a possible opening…
Demographic Change and Partisan Gain in Nevada
As the 2012 election moves into its final month, Nevada looms large in most Electoral College prognostications regarding the presidential race and the outcome of the state’s United States Senate…
Romney’s Likely Share of Latino Vote Plummets to 23% Based on LD Vote Predict
It seems that Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney’s hopes of reaching a respectable level of support among Latino voters may be dwindling. The Romney campaign’s own stated target of 38% of…
Latino vote pivotal in North Carolina
This blog was originally posted at NBC LATINO It was culture shock when this Arizona gal moved to North Carolina in 2000. The accent, pace of life, and outright friendliness…
Popular GOP Governor Martinez Disagrees with 47%
As Mitt Romney attempts to move beyond the 47 percent debacle that dominated his campaign last week, the damage control efforts will include reconnecting with several GOP candidates for office…
Growth in Latino enthusiasm and Democratic vote numbers disheartening for the GOP
Week 5 of the ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions 2012 Tracking Poll reveals stabilizing numbers in the Presidential election, growing Latino support in the generic House ballot and—perhaps most importantly for Democratic prospects…
The Latino gender gap: Latina voters prefer Obama by 53 point margin
With seven weeks until the election Republican candidate Mitt Romney’s potential gender gap with women faces a new hurdle in the Latino community, as reported today by Pilar Marrero. According…
Who Out-Latino’d Who? Assessing the RNC and DNC Conventions Latino Outreach
Latino political leaders were on display at the 2012 political conventions like never before. The Republican convention featured two Latino Governors and two Latino U.S. Senators (with the impending election…
Tracking Poll Wave 3: No increase in Latino enthusiasm following conventions
Despite two weeks of widespread political coverage in which both parties made an effort to reach out to Latino voters, enthusiasm about November is still very much in question. Wave…
Introducing LD Vote Predict
This is the second of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who…
Tracking Poll Wave 2: Romney gains among Latinos post-convention
After a week in the spotlight in which many prominent Latinos took to the stage at the RNC Convention, the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll finds a noticeable bump in support…
Mitt Romney’s Magic Number
Mitt Romney’s campaign has identified 38% as the “magic number” of Latino voters they need to secure victory over President Obama in the November election. This seems rather ambitious; John…
Introducing LD Turnout Predict
This is the first of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who…
Can the Republicans Connect With Latinos on Abortion?
This article was originally published at NBC LATINO Abortion is back in the political spotlight. Senate candidate Todd Akin made sure of that in his remarks regarding abortion, rape, and…
New 2012 voter registration numbers highlight potential of Latino vote in 9 key states
New analysis of state voter registration counts by Latino Decisions reveals strong growth in Latino registered voters across the 50 states. In July, Ruy Teixeira and William Frey first analyzed the May…
Paul Ryan, the national debt and the Latino vote
With the announcement that Wisconsin congressman Paul Ryan will be Mitt Romney’s vice presidential nominee everyone is wondering if and how this will change voter opinion, including among Latino voters….