Latino Decisions Blog

Category: Election analysis

Democrats Missing Opportunities in Top Tier Latino Influence House Districts

Recent polling conducted by Latino Decisions continues to find that comprehensive immigration reform is an animating issue for Latino voters and if immigration reform does not happen this year, most…

Why Eric Cantor really lost and what it means for GOP outreach to Latinos

Within minutes of Eric Cantor’s primary loss dozens of knee-jerk reactions in the national media called the upset bad news for immigration reform.  Let’s be clear – Eric Cantor was…

The 2014 House Elections and Comprehensive Immigration Reform Revisited

From the perspective of most Latino voters, the actions of the House Republicans have made a bad situation worse. House Republicans will bear the blunt of the blame if comprehensive…

Immigration Legislation or Executive Action Will Shape Latino Vote

Last summer, in the wake of the US Senate’s passage of S. 744, the “Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act,” Latino Decisions, in concert with America’s Voice, identified…

The Latino Gender Gap in U.S. Politics

Women and Latinos in the U.S. are both attracting a lot of political attention, especially after their impressive electoral impact in the last few elections.  We hear about the potential…

Latino Principles of Immigration Reform

Since the record defeat that Republicans suffered among Latino voters in 2012, prominent GOP voices have lined up to encourage their party to do a better job reaching out to…

Hard data from primary proves the San Diego UT/Survey USA Poll is flawed

The best way to assess how accurate current polls in the San Diego mayoral race are is to look at their past performance and compare to actual election outcomes.  This…

President Obama’s SOTU Proposals on Climate Change Resonate With Latinos

On Tuesday night, President Obama delivered the annual State of the Union Address.  When covering Latino reactions, the media is likely to focus on the President’s statements on immigration.  However,…

New poll: Latino vote will be critical factor in San Diego mayoral election

A new poll released today by Latino Decisions and the Latino Victory Project challenges previous polls in the San Diego mayoral and shows David Alvarez with a commanding lead over…

Narrow Margin in Virginia Signals Asian and Latino Influence, Virginia DREAM Act and GOP Fate Hang in the Balance

Latino Decisions election eve polling shows 66% of Hispanics and 63% of Asian Americans voted for Governor-Elect Terry McAuliffe. More specifically, an estimated 95,500 Hispanic and 51,000 Asian-Americans voted in…

The Prop 187 Effect: How the California GOP lost their way and implications for 2014 and beyond

According to polling data from the California Field Poll, after winning the presidential election in 1980, former California Governor Ronald Reagan raised his share of the Latino vote from 35%…

Anti-Immigrant Politics and Lessons for the GOP from California

According to polling data from the Field Poll, after winning the presidential election in 1980, California native Ronald Reagan raised his share of the Latino vote from 35 percent to…

What the GOP Can Learn from Nevada Republicans

As the GOP continues to struggle with its “Latino problem,” Republicans might look to Nevada for a constructive example of how some of their co-partisans are responding to the country’s…

Are Latinos Relevant to Midterm Elections?

A similar post appeared on NBC Latino The day after the 2012 presidential election pundits across the country declared Latino voters as one of the most important voting blocs in…

Latino non-citizens are neither Democrats nor Republicans

It is well documented that anti-Latino rhetoric and policies by Republican candidates since the mid-1990s led Latino voters to abandon the GOP in favor of the Democratic Party (Bowler and…

How Latino Voters May Decide Control of the U.S. House of Representatives

Despite growing popular support among non-Latinos both nationally and in key swing states in favor of immigration reform that includes a pathway to citizenship, the conventional wisdom suggests that the…

2016 forecast: Rubio, Bush, Ryan have chance to win over 40% of Latino vote

While the 2016 presidential election is a full three years away many of the high profile Republican contenders are enmeshed in the immigration reform debate, and if Republicans demonstrate strong…

Republicans have historic opportunity to improve standing among Latinos – or else

On Thursday June 27, the U.S. Senate voted 68 – 32 to pass comprehensive immigration reform that included significant border security components, as well as a path to legal status…

Census 2012 vote data highlight dramatic shift in racial diversity of American electorate

New data from the November 2012 U.S. Census Current Population Survey (CPS) reveals a major shift in the U.S. voting population, with the number of White, non-Hispanic voters declining by…

What the GOP has to gain – and lose – among Latinos when it comes to immigration reform

Recently there have been a series of high profile endorsements for comprehensive immigration reform from the Republican Party. Immediately after the November 2012 election Bobby Jindal made a plea for more civility…