Latino Decisions Blog

Category: Election analysis

Missed Opportunities: Assessing Latino Turnout in 2014

Across the board voter turnout was down in 2014. In 2010 about 91 million votes were cast and turnout among the voting eligible population was 41.8 percent. Four years later…

Black-Brown Tensions in California’s 2016 Senate Race? Don’t Believe The Hype

Horserace analogies are frequently used to describe political campaigns. However, if a Latino Democrat emerges in the 2016 Senate race, a boxing metaphor is likely to be used. The anticipated…

Latino Influence in the 2014 House Elections: Part II

In a prior post I examined what occurred in the 24 Republican held tier one and tier two Latino Influence House Districts during the 2014 elections. My analysis revealed that…

Immigration Politics At Center Stage

This week, immigration politics again moved to the forefront of the national conversation. The week began with director Alejandro Gonzalez Iñarritu calling for immigrants to be treated with dignity and respect…

Latino Influence in the 2014 House Elections: Part I

During the 2014 election cycle Latino Decisions identified US House districts where Latino voters were positioned to be influential.  Specifically, we considered districts where the 2010 Latino voting age population…

Latino Influence & the Politics of Immigration in the 2014 U.S. Senate Elections

To date, much of the evidence suggestive of Latino electoral influence has focused on statewide races, particularly presidential elections in swing states such as Florida, Colorado, and Nevada. However, with…

An Overview of Latino Influence in the 2014 Elections

In the aftermath of the 2012 election, political observers and pundits of all political stripes contended that the support of Latino voters was pivotal to President Obama’s victory over Mitt…

New Poll: Latino Support for Hillary in 2016 Depends on Her Stance on Executive Action on Immigration

New Poll Shows 2016 Latino Votes Will Follow Candidates who Want to Continue and Extend President Obama’s Executive Action on Immigration During the November 2014 midterms Latino voters said the…

Congressman Lujan is ideal choice for DCCC chair

The 2014 election has sent the Democratic Party back to the drawing board. The party looks to recover from an election that gave the Republican Party their greatest number of…

Growing Latino Gender Differences on Key Policy Issues

We continue to witness the very emotional and controversial debates over several key issues, including ‘women’s issues’ and immigration policy. This is especially evident at the wake of President Obama’s…

Revisiting Latina/o Gender Differences in Party Support

The 2014 election held great possibilities for those of us who study Latina politics, both because Latina/o political participation in the 2012 election proved to be a decisive factor in…

GOP’s Response to Obama’s Executive Action Could Define 2016 Election

Originally published at Huffington Post Pollster Last night, President Obama announced his long-anticipated administrative orders on immigration reform, expected to include changes with regard to which immigrants the federal government…

The reason why Obama is giving a major immigration speech in Nevada

In January 2013, President Obama chose Del Sol High School in Las Vegas to make his remarks outlining his administration’s comprehensive immigration reform principles. Part victory rally, part policy speech,…

Did Asian Americans switch parties overnight? No.

This article originally appeared at the Monkey Cage Blog at The Washington Post Buried in the blue and red bars of the exit poll results from Tuesday’s midterm elections is…

Latino Decisions now posting new voter poll results in CO, KS, AZ, TX

With the closure of Texas, Arizona, Colorado, and Kansas, we can assess Latino impact in two really competitive environments. Full results are posted here: 2014 Election Eve Poll We find…

Early results in the 2014 Latino vote now posted for key states

So far, Latino Decisions has posted results from Illinois, Georgia, Florida, and North Carolina: full results here 2014 Election Eve Poll Across all four states, Latinos gave significant advantages to…

2014 Election Eve Poll: Latino voters nationwide say immigration top voting issue

Key Results Now Available for Huge Latino Voter Poll Nationwide and in 10 States Washington, DC – An election eve poll of nearly 5,000 Latino voters nationwide and in key 2014…

Getting the Latino vote wrong? Which polls are good and which polls are bad

This article originally appeared at Politico.com Is it possible that Colorado’s Cory Gardner is shaping up to be this election cycle’s Sharron Angle? You might recall what happened to Angle in…

Environmental Issues Will Affect Latino Voting Behavior in this Election

A common stereotype about the Latino electorate is that environmental issues are ranked lower to more pressing issues like immigration, jobs, the economy, education and crime. Indeed, when one thinks…

David Ayón weighs in on 2016 Republican Presidential Contenders and Immigration Reform

The new Latino Decisions column by David R. Ayón, published on the Univision news website, discusses Latino voters’ attitudes towards the most likely Republican contenders for the 2016 presidencial nomination, based on the recent America’s Voice – Latino…