Latino Decisions Blog
Apathy in Texas
With approximately eight months until election day, the race against the clock to register millions of eligible Latinos in Texas is underway. Doing so can dramatically improve the livelihoods of Latinos in…
To win Texas, mobilize Texas Latinos
Happy New Year. It’s 2020 and a new decade dawns with what may be the most important presidential election in generations. During the holidays, my mind was on Texas and…
Texas-Sized Opportunities, Part 3B
Is Texas a purple state now, and if not, how soon will it be? Continuing this series investigating the Lone Star State’s evolving partisanship, in this post I consider whether…
Congressman Lujan is ideal choice for DCCC chair
The 2014 election has sent the Democratic Party back to the drawing board. The party looks to recover from an election that gave the Republican Party their greatest number of…
Revisiting Latina/o Gender Differences in Party Support
The 2014 election held great possibilities for those of us who study Latina politics, both because Latina/o political participation in the 2012 election proved to be a decisive factor in…
18 Senate and Governor races Latinos could influence in 2014
The 2014 election is now just 8 days away and almost all the attention on the Latino vote is in Colorado’s Senate race. While other states with large Latino populations…
Minority Political Candidates Just Need a Chance
The following interview was originally published by Michigan State University Today. It’s not necessarily voters who should be blamed for the lack of minorities in state legislatures, but instead the…
A Presidential Status Plebiscite for Puerto Rico?
On July 17, 2013 the House Appropriations Committee approved the fiscal year 2014 Commerce, Justice, Science (CJS) Appropriations bill, which included a request by President Barack H. Obama to fund…
Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida
Gary Segura recently provided a discussion of how exit polls often misrepresent Latino voters (Badly!), pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely…
Obama’s Re-election Sets Record Support for Latino Voters
Article originally published at The Nation In his 1996 re-election President Bill Clinton attained 72 percent of the Latino vote, the highest level of Latino support of any presidential candidate—before…
LD Vote Predict Indicates Latinos Voters Will Support Obama Over Romney by 3 to 1 Margin
While President Obama’s support among Latino voters has fallen slightly from its peak prior to the first debate (week 6 of the tracking poll), effects of a poor debate performance…
Romney’s Likely Share of Latino Vote Plummets to 23% Based on LD Vote Predict
It seems that Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney’s hopes of reaching a respectable level of support among Latino voters may be dwindling. The Romney campaign’s own stated target of 38% of…
Latino vote pivotal in North Carolina
This blog was originally posted at NBC LATINO It was culture shock when this Arizona gal moved to North Carolina in 2000. The accent, pace of life, and outright friendliness…
Growth in Latino enthusiasm and Democratic vote numbers disheartening for the GOP
Week 5 of the ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions 2012 Tracking Poll reveals stabilizing numbers in the Presidential election, growing Latino support in the generic House ballot and—perhaps most importantly for Democratic prospects…
Why Hispanic Heritage Month Awareness Really Matters
This article was originally published at NBC LATINO On this eve of Hispanic Heritage Month, I can’t help but feel frustrated. According to a poll released this week by the…
Introducing LD Turnout Predict
This is the first of two posts introducing new models that Latino Decisions will use in predicting Latino voter turnout along with the choice of candidate by those voters who…
New 2012 voter registration numbers highlight potential of Latino vote in 9 key states
New analysis of state voter registration counts by Latino Decisions reveals strong growth in Latino registered voters across the 50 states. In July, Ruy Teixeira and William Frey first analyzed the May…
The State of Play in New Mexico: The Role of 2010 Winners in 2012 Race
New Mexico has historically provided some high drama during presidential elections, and is often referred to as both a bell-weather and swing state. In fact, Al Gore squeaked out a…
Support for Obama Appears Solid among Latinos in Florida
A major part of the dialogue on the 2012 presidential election has centered on which candidate will win the hearts and minds of the ever-growing Latino electorate. New survey data…
Women, Independents and Latinos: How Do Romney and Obama Fare with Each?
By Stella Manrique Rouse In the “Hope and Change” presidential campaign of 2008, Barack Obama struck a chord with many groups. Besides overwhelming support from African Americans, he was also able…