Latino Decisions Blog

Category: Election analysis

How to measure Latino influence: a new quantitative model

By: Matt Barreto, Loren Collingwood, Sylvia Manzano The importance of the Latino electorate has been the subject of both academic inquiry and media discourses. The question of Latino influence is…

Latino Influence is Holding Parties Accountable

Whether Latino voter turnout is high or low, their influence will register in the 2010 midterms because this time, attention is squarely focused on whether they vote, rather than for…

Hispanic Vote will decide next Governor of New Mexico

By Gabriel Sanchez, Jillian Medeiros and Vickie Ybarra, University of New Mexico With less than three weeks to go before the mid-term elections the outcome of several important races will…

Why state anti-immigration policies turn-off Latino voters

As far back as July 2007 Latino Decisions reported immigration as a top issue for Latinos (see this post here), and immigration remains a top issue according to the tracking…

Is the Latino enthusiasm gap closing? Latest LD tracking poll…

With three weeks to go until election day the Latino Decisions tracking poll reports the first signs of increasing enthusiasm and vote intention among Latino registered voters in 2010. Last…

4 weeks until election, economy and immigration still top issues for Latinos

It has been a very busy week since our last post. The issue of immigration jumped back into the spotlight as the Whitman housekeeper saga unfolded (over days), California’s gubernatorial…

Latinos are From Mars, Latinas are from Venus – in Politics too!

The bestselling book, Men are from Mars, Women are from Venus, is about the myriad emotional and romantic differences between the two sexes. Politics was not covered in this book,…

LD Tracking Poll — Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Support DREAM Act

The latest data from the Latino Decisions tracking poll shows 77.5% of Latino registered voters support the DREAM Act amendment, versus just 11.5% who oppose. The new data come from…

Latino vote may provide critical margin for Brown, Boxer in California

A new poll released today by Latino Decisions, in partnership with the Los Angeles Times and University of Southern California shows Latino voters favor Democrat Jerry Brown over Republican Meg…

Latino voter tracking poll: Some brightening news for Democrats?

With five weeks of interviewing complete, we are beginning to see several patterns emerging on several dimensions of importance, even as other measures exhibit a bit of bouncing around, suggesting…

Republicans face new low, but Dems haven’t capitalized on Latino vote yet

Latinos are becoming increasingly frustrated with the Republican party, following three weeks of data from the Latino Decisions weekly national tracking poll of Latino registered voters, though Democrats have not…

Latino vote in midterms more Democratic — but many warning signs for Democrats appear

With three weeks of interviewing complete in the Latino Decisions tracking poll, a wave of small but consistent shifts suggests concern for Democrats. The good news for Democrats is that…

LD Tracking Poll: Obama approval falls, Economy, Immigration dominate 2010 election

A new tracking poll survey released today by Latino Decisions shows a clear majority of Latinos approve of President Barack Obama, however his ratings are down by almost 10 points…

Is Arizona 2010 Like California 1994?

In 1994 California passed the anti-immigrant measure Prop 187, strongly endorsed by Republican Governor Pete Wilson, and since then Latino voters have aligned heavily with the Democratic Party in California….

Brand New Arizona? To Latinos, it’s the same old thing

In the days and weeks following Governor Jan Brewer’s national press conference where she signed SB1070 into law, because “it is best for Arizona”, organizations, municipalities and private citizens around…

Latinos greatly support health reform — still expect immigration reform before 2010

New Latino Decisions polling data from March 2010 finds that Latino registered voters are very supportive of health care reform, however large majorities also say it is very important for…

Latino enthusiasm for midterm election at all time low

On the value of “Introduction to American Government” versus a law degree from Harvard… No reasonable person would dispute the innate intelligence and intellectual capacity of President Obama, or for…

Are Latinos Loyal Partisans?

A recent post here discussed the widely held opinion that Latinos are not as welcome as whites in the Democratic or Republican Party. Latinos and Non-Latinos hold consistent perceptions, suggesting…

Latinos are less welcomed by both Democratic and Republican Parties

Analysis of polling data from Latino Decisions and the Washington Poll indicates there is a public consensus that Latinos are not as welcome as whites in either the Republican or…

Latino voters to influence outcome in 30 key House seats in 2010

In 2008 Latino voters turned out in record number and voted overwhelmingly in favor of Democrat Barack Obama, providing the key margin in many states. However, as the 2010 midterm…