Latino Decisions Blog
How the Exit Polls Misrepresent Latino Voters, and Badly
Did you know that, despite running exceedingly racialized anti-Latino advertisements in Nevada’s Senate race, Sharon Angle got 30% of the Latino vote? Jan Brewer also did well, attracting an above-average…
The Context of Immigration Policy in New Mexico Reflects National Trends
The Latino electorate continues to be one of the most intriguing story lines of the 2012 election cycle, with the role of immigration policy in Latino voting behavior dominating discussions…
Latinos’ Support for Obama Solid in Florida
With the election less than two weeks away there has been a great deal of speculation about the Latino community’s support for President Obama, particularly in Florida. Most recently, an…
8 percent of Latinos have already voted early, enthusiasm up again in final week
The latest impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll shows that Latinos are more enthusiastic and more likely to vote than ten weeks ago when the initial poll was fielded. Forty-five percent of…
LD Vote Predict Indicates Latinos Voters Will Support Obama Over Romney by 3 to 1 Margin
While President Obama’s support among Latino voters has fallen slightly from its peak prior to the first debate (week 6 of the tracking poll), effects of a poor debate performance…
Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – 2012 edition
In 1998 Harry Pachon and Rudy de la Garza wrote a report for the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute titled “Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote – Again!” in which they…
Latino voters highly engaged in presidential election, support for Obama rises
The impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll latest results reveal a high level of interest and engagement by Latino voters in the upcoming congressional and presidential elections. [ Full wave 9 results…
Latino voters in Colorado care deeply about protecting water, air from potential oil shale development
Colorado has become one of the most contested states in 2012, and Michael Bennet’s 2010 Senate win came by less than 30,000 votes. Latino voters – at an estimated 12%…
New Poll From Latino Decisions Indicates That Immigration Matters to Hispanic Voters in New Mexico
Hispanic voters comprise nearly 40% of the electorate in the state of New Mexico, making New Mexico the state where Latino voters have the greatest influence on the election outcomes….
Enthusiasm High among Colorado Latinos—Is it time for a new Latino voter impact narrative?
The Latino vote will help determine the presidential election. If one is not convinced, playing around with the Latino Decisions’ Latino Vote Map for a few of the battleground states…
Why the Latino vote may tilt Virginia blue in 2012
According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls in Virginia, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 48.4 to 47.6, a gap of less than 1%. In the race for U.S….
Obama slightly down among Latinos post-debate but Romney stuck in low 20s
ImpreMedia & Latino Decisions released the latest in a series of tracking polls today revealing support for President Obama slipped from 72% last week to 67% this week, suggesting that…
New Poll from Latino Decisions Reveals that Immigration is Important Issue to Colorado’s Latino Voters
Just as was the case in 2008, the state of Colorado has become a central focus of the presidential race. After recently playing host to the first debate, both the…
The Impact of SB1070 on the 2012 Latino Vote in Arizona
The last Democratic candidate who won Arizona’s Electoral College votes was Bill Clinton in his bid for re-election in 1996 when Arizona had 8 Electoral College votes. Heading into the…
Why Arizona may be the surprise of 2012 – the big Latino vote that you didn’t see coming
In 2010, the average of 16 polls of likely voters in Nevada suggested Sharon Angle had a firm 3 point lead, and 538’s Nate Silver gave her an 83.4% chance…
Republicans fail to improve their image among Latinos, but have opportunity on education
The latest impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll released today revealed a continued trend in support for President Obama, and increased dissatisfaction with Republican outreach towards Latino voters, with a possible opening…
Demographic Change and Partisan Gain in Nevada
As the 2012 election moves into its final month, Nevada looms large in most Electoral College prognostications regarding the presidential race and the outcome of the state’s United States Senate…
Foreign Policy and the 2012 Latino Electorate
Latino foreign policy perspectives, with rare exceptions (De la Garza 1980, De le Garza and Pachon 2000, Valeriano 2007) are an unexplored topic in the foreign policy academic and policy…
Romney’s Likely Share of Latino Vote Plummets to 23% Based on LD Vote Predict
It seems that Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney’s hopes of reaching a respectable level of support among Latino voters may be dwindling. The Romney campaign’s own stated target of 38% of…
Wave 6 Tracking Poll: Obama widens lead nationally, Romney closer in battleground states
This week’s impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll found slight gains for presidential candidate Mitt Romney in battleground states with 33% certain to or thinking about voting for him. However, the over…