Latino Decisions Blog
Senators who opposed DREAM Act may face Latino roadblocks in 2012
Yesterday the U.S. Senate failed to invoke cloture on the DREAM Act (HR 5281), ending the chance for any legislative accomplishments on the issue of immigration. While much of the…
The GOP is Sleepwalking Through the DREAM Act
The 2010 election has lulled the GOP into its own dream act. In a year in which GOP congressional candidates benefited profoundly from the slumping economy and an anti-incumbent populist…
Latino Decisions tracking poll post-election panel discredits National Exit Poll
Latino Decisions interview 1,870 Latino registered voters nationwide across 13 weeks, beginning August 9 and ending on October 28. In the weeks after the election, we attempted to re-contact those…
Proving the exit polls wrong 2: Jan Brewer did not win 28% of the Latino vote
A few weeks ago we posted very strong evidence that the national exit poll data for Latinos in Nevada were horribly wrong. Today, we visit the state of Arizona, and…
Proving the exit polls wrong – Harry Reid did win over 90% of the Latino vote
The pre-election analysis of polls by Nate Silver at 538 proved accurate in predicting 34 of 37 elections for the U.S. Senate. The three states that were off were Alaska,…
How the National Exit Poll Badly Missed the Latino Vote in 2010
By: Gary Segura & Matt Barreto Latino Decisions estimates differ significantly from the network exit polls and this raises the question of whether we, or they, have a systematic flaw…
Latino Election Eve Poll Results: November 2, 2010
Latino Decisions / NCLR / SEIU / America’s Voice Election Eve Poll First results posted at 8PM Eastern | Preview of results posted here Click State for Election Poll Results
Final Latino Decisions Tracking Poll Shows Dems Winning Latino Vote
After 11 weeks of interviewing, our fall tracking poll comes to an end with this, the 10th Wave Report. Note, however, that the Latino Decisions Track will continue in 2011,…
Latino Decisions announces election eve poll in 8 states
Latino Decisions is partnering with the National Council of La Raza, SEIU, and America’s Voice to conduct an election eve poll of Latino voters in eight key states: California, Nevada,…
Latino likely voters favor Dems – 2008 surge voters show lower enthusiasm
With one week to go before the 2010 midterm election, the Latino Decisions tracking poll takes a closer look at who constitutes likely voters in 2010. Likely voter models are…
How to measure Latino influence: a new quantitative model
By: Matt Barreto, Loren Collingwood, Sylvia Manzano The importance of the Latino electorate has been the subject of both academic inquiry and media discourses. The question of Latino influence is…
Latino Influence is Holding Parties Accountable
Whether Latino voter turnout is high or low, their influence will register in the 2010 midterms because this time, attention is squarely focused on whether they vote, rather than for…
Hispanic Vote will decide next Governor of New Mexico
By Gabriel Sanchez, Jillian Medeiros and Vickie Ybarra, University of New Mexico With less than three weeks to go before the mid-term elections the outcome of several important races will…
Despite large lead, Dem vote choice still underperforms Democratic partisanship
With little more than two weeks to go until the November election, the most apparent characteristic of this week’s track is stability. Latinos prefer Democratic candidates to Republican candidates, 59.0%…
Is the Latino enthusiasm gap closing? Latest LD tracking poll…
With three weeks to go until election day the Latino Decisions tracking poll reports the first signs of increasing enthusiasm and vote intention among Latino registered voters in 2010. Last…
4 weeks until election, economy and immigration still top issues for Latinos
It has been a very busy week since our last post. The issue of immigration jumped back into the spotlight as the Whitman housekeeper saga unfolded (over days), California’s gubernatorial…
Are Latino immigrant voters in California still undecided?
Last Monday the Los Angeles Times reported Latino voters favor Democrat Jerry Brown over Republican Meg Whitman by a wide margin. Despite a preference for Brown, data from Latino Decisions…
LD Tracking Poll — Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Support DREAM Act
The latest data from the Latino Decisions tracking poll shows 77.5% of Latino registered voters support the DREAM Act amendment, versus just 11.5% who oppose. The new data come from…
Latino vote may provide critical margin for Brown, Boxer in California
A new poll released today by Latino Decisions, in partnership with the Los Angeles Times and University of Southern California shows Latino voters favor Democrat Jerry Brown over Republican Meg…
Latino voter tracking poll: Some brightening news for Democrats?
With five weeks of interviewing complete, we are beginning to see several patterns emerging on several dimensions of importance, even as other measures exhibit a bit of bouncing around, suggesting…